Tuesday, December 4, 2007

The National Intelligence Estimate on Iran

Link to it here. There's an interesting part at the end called Key Differences Between the Key Judgments of This Estimate on Iran’s Nuclear Program and the May 2005 Assessment.

Yeah, that might be good to know. What did the same group conclude in 2005?
  • "Assessed with high confidence" that Iran was pursuing nuclear weapons. Now, they "judge with high confidence" that Iran stopped the program in the fall of 2003.
  • "moderate confidence" that Iran was unlikely to come up with a nuclear weapon until mid to late next decade. Now? "the earliest possible date Iran would be technically capable of producing enough highly enriched uranium (HEU) for a weapon is late 2009" and they add that is very unlikely. More likely to them is between 2010 and 2015.
  • In 2005 they estimated that Iran could produce enough fissile material for a nuclear weapon by the end of the decade. Now? They judge that the earliest date is late 2009.
The last two read to me that they still have the same conclusion for time lines. I'd be real leery of listening to the liberals and the MSM as they jump up and down about this report. They're obviously cherry picking info again. Read the report as the meat section is only a few pages. The whole report is only 9 pages long. What the MSM isn't telling you is pretty important.

My little pea sized brain reads it as, between 2005 and 2007, Iran has come 2 years closer to having a nuclear bomb.


No comments: