Yeah, that might be good to know. What did the same group conclude in 2005?
- "Assessed with high confidence" that Iran was pursuing nuclear weapons. Now, they "judge with high confidence" that Iran stopped the program in the fall of 2003.
- "moderate confidence" that Iran was unlikely to come up with a nuclear weapon until mid to late next decade. Now? "the earliest possible date Iran would be technically capable of producing enough highly enriched uranium (HEU) for a weapon is late 2009" and they add that is very unlikely. More likely to them is between 2010 and 2015.
- In 2005 they estimated that Iran could produce enough fissile material for a nuclear weapon by the end of the decade. Now? They judge that the earliest date is late 2009.
My little pea sized brain reads it as, between 2005 and 2007, Iran has come 2 years closer to having a nuclear bomb.